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01-08-2004, 08:02 PM
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#1 |
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High King of Númenórë
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Númenórë <--United States of America
Posts: 1,947
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Best Director Chances, check this out...
Ok, so I heard this rumor about the Academy Award for Best Director and how to predict it pretty closely in comparison to the Best Director awarded by the Director's Guild of America. I heard that when a Director is given the award by the Directors Guild they are going to win the Academy Award as well. So I checked the past award winners for both the Academy Awards and the Directors Guild of America.
Here is what I found: Since the Director's Guild of America started giving awards away in 1948, this is the 56th year of the awards. I looked back over the past 55 years the awards were given out by both groups. What I found was this. The award has been given 55 times, and 49 times it was given to the same director in both the Academy Awards and the Directors Guild of America. So with that being said, only 6 times the two awards have been different over the past 55 years. Pretty good odds there! This, the 56th year, the nominees for the Directors Guild of America are: SOFIA COPPOLA - LOST IN TRANSLATION CLINT EASTWOOD - MYSTIC RIVER PETER JACKSON - THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING GARY ROSS - SEABISCUIT PETER WEIR - MASTER AND COMMANDER: THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD The Directors Guild Awards are given on Saturday, February 7, 2004. So if Peter Jackson ends up winning the Directors Guild Award next month, then there is a pretty damn good chance he will win the Academy Award as well  P.S. The DGA website is here: http://www.dga.org/
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'Et Eärello Endorenna utúlien. Sinome maruvan ar Hildinyar tenn' Ambar-metta!' - And those were the words that Elendil spoke when he came up out of the Sea on the wings of the wind: 'Out of the Great Sea to Middle-earth I am come. In this place will I abide, and my heirs, unto the ending of the world.' 'Then Tuor arrayed himself in the hauberk, and set the helm upon his head, and he girt himself with the sword; black were sheath and belt with clasps of silver. Thus armed he went forth from Turgon's hall, and stood upon the high terraces of Taras in the red light of the sun. None were there to see him, as he gazed westward, gleaming in silver and gold, and he knew not that in that hour he appeared as one of the Mighty of the West, and fit to be father of the kings of the Kings of Men beyond the Sea, as it was indeed his doom to be; but in the taking of those arms a change came upon Tuor son of Huor, and his heart grew great within him. And as he stepped down from the doors the swans did him reverence, and plucking each a great feather from their wings they proffered them to him, laying their long necks upon the stone before his feet; and he took the seven feathers and set them in the crest of his helm, and straightway the swans arose and flew north in the sunset, and Tuor saw them no more.' -Of Tuor and his Coming to Gondolin "Oh. Forgive me, fairest of all males of Entmoot...Back down, all ye other wannabe fairest males! Dunedain is the fairest!" --Linaewen
Last edited by Dúnedain : 01-08-2004 at 08:14 PM. |
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01-08-2004, 09:22 PM
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#2 |
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Elf Lord
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Southeastern Pennsylvania
Posts: 1,215
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Very interesting.
1)Are Director's Guild awards broadcast? 2)As an idle thought, I wonder if places like U. K. betting parlors give odds on academy awards, and what are track records in predicting are.
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Democrat for Kerry-Edwards! Take Back America Aure entuluva! |
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01-09-2004, 12:44 AM
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#3 | |
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High King of Númenórë
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Númenórë <--United States of America
Posts: 1,947
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Quote:
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'Et Eärello Endorenna utúlien. Sinome maruvan ar Hildinyar tenn' Ambar-metta!' - And those were the words that Elendil spoke when he came up out of the Sea on the wings of the wind: 'Out of the Great Sea to Middle-earth I am come. In this place will I abide, and my heirs, unto the ending of the world.' 'Then Tuor arrayed himself in the hauberk, and set the helm upon his head, and he girt himself with the sword; black were sheath and belt with clasps of silver. Thus armed he went forth from Turgon's hall, and stood upon the high terraces of Taras in the red light of the sun. None were there to see him, as he gazed westward, gleaming in silver and gold, and he knew not that in that hour he appeared as one of the Mighty of the West, and fit to be father of the kings of the Kings of Men beyond the Sea, as it was indeed his doom to be; but in the taking of those arms a change came upon Tuor son of Huor, and his heart grew great within him. And as he stepped down from the doors the swans did him reverence, and plucking each a great feather from their wings they proffered them to him, laying their long necks upon the stone before his feet; and he took the seven feathers and set them in the crest of his helm, and straightway the swans arose and flew north in the sunset, and Tuor saw them no more.' -Of Tuor and his Coming to Gondolin "Oh. Forgive me, fairest of all males of Entmoot...Back down, all ye other wannabe fairest males! Dunedain is the fairest!" --Linaewen
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01-16-2004, 02:30 AM
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#4 |
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Alasailon
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: college
Posts: 861
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That is quite interesting. How did you stumble upon it to begin with? I mean what gave you the idea?
__________________
"and then this hobbit was walking, and then this elf jumped out of a bush and totally flipped out on him while wailing on his guitar." "Anglorfin was tall and straight; his hair was of shining gold, his face fair and young and fearless and full of anger; his eyes were bright and keen, and his voice like music; on his brow sat wisdom, and in his hand was great skill." |
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01-16-2004, 06:41 PM
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#5 | |
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High King of Númenórë
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Númenórë <--United States of America
Posts: 1,947
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Quote:
__________________
'Et Eärello Endorenna utúlien. Sinome maruvan ar Hildinyar tenn' Ambar-metta!' - And those were the words that Elendil spoke when he came up out of the Sea on the wings of the wind: 'Out of the Great Sea to Middle-earth I am come. In this place will I abide, and my heirs, unto the ending of the world.' 'Then Tuor arrayed himself in the hauberk, and set the helm upon his head, and he girt himself with the sword; black were sheath and belt with clasps of silver. Thus armed he went forth from Turgon's hall, and stood upon the high terraces of Taras in the red light of the sun. None were there to see him, as he gazed westward, gleaming in silver and gold, and he knew not that in that hour he appeared as one of the Mighty of the West, and fit to be father of the kings of the Kings of Men beyond the Sea, as it was indeed his doom to be; but in the taking of those arms a change came upon Tuor son of Huor, and his heart grew great within him. And as he stepped down from the doors the swans did him reverence, and plucking each a great feather from their wings they proffered them to him, laying their long necks upon the stone before his feet; and he took the seven feathers and set them in the crest of his helm, and straightway the swans arose and flew north in the sunset, and Tuor saw them no more.' -Of Tuor and his Coming to Gondolin "Oh. Forgive me, fairest of all males of Entmoot...Back down, all ye other wannabe fairest males! Dunedain is the fairest!" --Linaewen
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02-08-2004, 02:54 PM
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#6 |
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High King of Númenórë
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Númenórë <--United States of America
Posts: 1,947
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The chances for Peter Jackson and RotK to win the big Oscars just got greater. Yesterday Jackson won the DGA Award, that I spoke of in this thread and you can see that there is like a 90% chance he will win the Oscar now, considering his win at the DGA award yesterday.
Jackson wins DGA Award for Feature Film
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'Et Eärello Endorenna utúlien. Sinome maruvan ar Hildinyar tenn' Ambar-metta!' - And those were the words that Elendil spoke when he came up out of the Sea on the wings of the wind: 'Out of the Great Sea to Middle-earth I am come. In this place will I abide, and my heirs, unto the ending of the world.' 'Then Tuor arrayed himself in the hauberk, and set the helm upon his head, and he girt himself with the sword; black were sheath and belt with clasps of silver. Thus armed he went forth from Turgon's hall, and stood upon the high terraces of Taras in the red light of the sun. None were there to see him, as he gazed westward, gleaming in silver and gold, and he knew not that in that hour he appeared as one of the Mighty of the West, and fit to be father of the kings of the Kings of Men beyond the Sea, as it was indeed his doom to be; but in the taking of those arms a change came upon Tuor son of Huor, and his heart grew great within him. And as he stepped down from the doors the swans did him reverence, and plucking each a great feather from their wings they proffered them to him, laying their long necks upon the stone before his feet; and he took the seven feathers and set them in the crest of his helm, and straightway the swans arose and flew north in the sunset, and Tuor saw them no more.' -Of Tuor and his Coming to Gondolin "Oh. Forgive me, fairest of all males of Entmoot...Back down, all ye other wannabe fairest males! Dunedain is the fairest!" --Linaewen
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02-08-2004, 04:06 PM
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#7 |
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The Fleet-Footed
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: British Columbia
Posts: 913
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That is so awesome! Yay! Thanks for the update, Dúnedain.
__________________
Jesus saved me "To remain ignorant of things that happened before you were born is to remain a child" (Cicero, 106-43 B.C.) "Art is a lie which makes us realize the truth" (Picasso) |
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02-08-2004, 10:34 PM
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#8 |
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Retired Ent
Join Date: Sep 1999
Posts: 60,631
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Things look very good for PJ's Oscar chances.
Still, it was just last year that Rob Marshall won the DGA for "Chicago" but Roman Polanski won the Best Director Oscar in an upset for "The Pianist." This year, Clint Eastwood of "Mystic River" and Sofia Coppola of "Lost in Translation" are PJ's only serious competition. They are still extreme longshots. I think Peter Weir of "Master and Commander" and Fernando Meirelles of "City of God" should just be happy to be nominated. Still, you never know about Meirelles - his nomination was a huge shock, and obviously there must be some support for him.
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---Ben formerly known in the forums as bmilder Owner of The Tolkien Trail and Entmoot. Buy Entmoot shirts and mugs! |
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02-08-2004, 11:16 PM
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#9 | |
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High King of Númenórë
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Númenórë <--United States of America
Posts: 1,947
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Quote:
 PJ does have the odds in his favor, but it's still not a given, but according to all the statistics out there, he sits nicely. We will see in 3 weeks...
__________________
'Et Eärello Endorenna utúlien. Sinome maruvan ar Hildinyar tenn' Ambar-metta!' - And those were the words that Elendil spoke when he came up out of the Sea on the wings of the wind: 'Out of the Great Sea to Middle-earth I am come. In this place will I abide, and my heirs, unto the ending of the world.' 'Then Tuor arrayed himself in the hauberk, and set the helm upon his head, and he girt himself with the sword; black were sheath and belt with clasps of silver. Thus armed he went forth from Turgon's hall, and stood upon the high terraces of Taras in the red light of the sun. None were there to see him, as he gazed westward, gleaming in silver and gold, and he knew not that in that hour he appeared as one of the Mighty of the West, and fit to be father of the kings of the Kings of Men beyond the Sea, as it was indeed his doom to be; but in the taking of those arms a change came upon Tuor son of Huor, and his heart grew great within him. And as he stepped down from the doors the swans did him reverence, and plucking each a great feather from their wings they proffered them to him, laying their long necks upon the stone before his feet; and he took the seven feathers and set them in the crest of his helm, and straightway the swans arose and flew north in the sunset, and Tuor saw them no more.' -Of Tuor and his Coming to Gondolin "Oh. Forgive me, fairest of all males of Entmoot...Back down, all ye other wannabe fairest males! Dunedain is the fairest!" --Linaewen
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02-09-2004, 01:49 AM
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#10 |
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the Shrike
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: San Francisco, CA <3
Posts: 10,647
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City of God got nominated?! Wow... that movie is freaking fantastic! Dunno which is better though - mystic river or CoG? Hmm...
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"Binary solo! 0000001! 00000011! 0000001! 00000011!" ~ The Humans are Dead, Flight of the Conchords |
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02-09-2004, 01:30 PM
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#11 |
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Elf Lord
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In me taters
Posts: 3,288
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Agreed it was great; better directed (IMO) than ROTK. Not so great is that the co-director, Katia Lund appears to have been written out of the script. Odd.
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02-09-2004, 02:15 PM
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#12 |
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the Shrike
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: San Francisco, CA <3
Posts: 10,647
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*nods* Definitely. If RoTK wins over any of those two, I will personally move to LA and hunt them down like the rabbits they are, and [censored as per entmoot policy]. Yep, that's what I'll do.
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"Binary solo! 0000001! 00000011! 0000001! 00000011!" ~ The Humans are Dead, Flight of the Conchords |
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02-09-2004, 02:27 PM
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#13 |
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Elf Lord
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In me taters
Posts: 3,288
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*Snort* Promise to strap on a web cam while you're at it? You might be up for next year's Best Slasher Flick
I've not seen Mystic River, but IMO Lost in Translation is better directed too. However, I reckon it's unlikely that a newbie (Coppola) will win. Eastwood might be considered "due", so he's probably the only realistic competition. Still, as someone said on another thread, Jackson may well get it on the basis of having done it at all. Which kind of defeats the purpose of having specialist categories but hey ho |
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02-09-2004, 06:54 PM
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#14 |
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Elven Warrior
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: The Lonely Mountain
Posts: 161
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We all know the AA are all about politics anyway. The word I've heard is that PJ will win as a reward for the entire trilogy, rather than the ROTK in particular. I really enjoyed all three films, but personally, I think FOTR was the best one.
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"Evil will always triumph because good is dumb." - Spaceballs |
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